It’s been a few days, but we’re back it. Looking to bounce back and get back up over that 60% mark.
GC’s Gambling Corner 2/20/21
Florida St -5.5
Blue Jackets ML
Suns -4 vs Memphis
There’s not a ton I love on the NBA card tonight. Lots of teams on back to backs, lots of lines that are oddly close and lots of teams I don’t trust. That said, I love the Suns in this spot where both teams are playing for the second night in a row. After a HUGE 4th quarter to pull off the win in New Orleans last night, they head to Memphis looking for another W. The Suns are 6-1 ATS off of back to backs and they’re the just the better team here. Phoenix is 8th in offensive and defensive efficiency, the Grizzlies are 19th and 15th. The last time these teams played, DBook went 5/21 from the floor and the Suns still only lost by 4… that won’t happen again.
UConn +6.5 vs Villanova
If you know me, I’ve historically loved UConn guard play. They always seem to have a DUDE. Kemba Walker, Shabazz Napier and now, James Bouknight. He’s played in 7 of the team’s 15 games this year and he’s averaging 20 points per game and UConn is just a different animal with him on the floor. Even after he has missed over half of the team’s games, UConn is still 36th in KenPom. Look for this to be a high scoring, tightly contested affair and maybe even sprinkle UConn ML to get what would be a huge conference road win.
Florida State -5.5 vs Pitt
Florida State is the class of the ACC. Some might say this is a trap game on the road after MJ Walker, Scottie Barnes and company trounced UVA mid week, but that’s not the case. They want the ACC title and the only way they’re going to get there is by winning out. UVA is leading in the standings because they’ve played more games, but I truly think Florida State is the better team. Justin Champagnie is fun to watch, but I don’t think the rest of Pitt can keep up with Florida State’s offensive attack (ranked #8 in KenPom).
This is the third time these teams have played in a week. They’ve split, 1-1, so far, but I suspect this game to go under the total for the third straight game. Having some familiarity, with each other, I think both teams play good defensive games again. Marc Andre-Fleury and Phillipp Grubauer have been outstanding in net for both teams and I think that will continue this afternoon. The under is a combined 6-14 when these guys start in goal and the teams are 1-2 in the NHL in goals against per game.
Panthers ML vs Red Wings
The Panthers are coming off of a 7-2 drubbing of the Red Wings last night and I suspect that to continue tonight. The Red Wings are one of the NHL’s worst teams and the Panthers are leading their division at 11-2-2. In a matchup of good vs bad, just bet on good and expect the Panthers to keep rolling.
Blue Jackets ML vs Predators
After starting the season 4-3, including 2 wins versus Columbus, the Predators have hit a wall, going 2-7 in their last nine, including losing to this same Blue Jackets team 3-0 two nights ago. Nashville is 29th in the NHL in goals per game and in this sport, you have to score goals to win. I expect the Preds offensive woes to continue and the Blue Jackets to pick up the W.