Okay guys, I’ve been putting these out on Twitter and Instagram since I started and I’m 17-8 on picks overall. Put a poll on IG last night and got a whopping 8 votes, so I’m going to go ahead and do these write ups anyway. I’ll put the picks at the top of the blog so if you can’t read, you don’t have to. Otherwise, read on and hopefully you guys learn how I pick games and can begin to make your own decisions. If you guys like them, share them with your friends (make them click the link though) and let’s make some money together.
GC’s GC Tuesday February 2nd, 2021
I love the Grizzlies tonight. I got them at +6 last night, but I would still take them at +4.5 now. Usually, last game of a road trip and a back to back are signs for fading a team, however, no starter on the Grizz played more than 25 minutes, so they should be fresh. They’re also on a tear, going 7-0 ATS and SU over their last 7. They’ve also been great on the road (6-1 ATS), while the Pacers are just 4-7 ATS at home. Sprinkle the ML if you’re feeling lucky.
My other two picks are similar thought processes. The Blazers and Clippers are both in the middle of road trips, missing key players. Other than Dame’s miracle shot for the win against Chicago, Portland has been abysmal without McCollum and Nurkic. Unless Dame goes for 40+, they will continue to struggle. On the other hand, the Clips are missing Pat Bev and that will show. Kyrie should have a day. Theoretically, Kawhi and PG should play, but they might have their load managed at any minute.
Texas as a home dog is another play I love tonight. They’ve lost 2 of their last 4 against Texas Tech and Oklahoma, but both losses came by 2 points or less. Baylor is the best team in the conference and top 2 in the country for a reason, but the Longhorns match up well with the Bears. The Horns are led by veteran guards and an athletic forntcourt who play hard on both ends of the floor. I think Shaka’s defensive mindset is put on display here and the Horns pull off the upset at home.
Dayton is just better than Duquense. Two and a half weeks ago, Dayton beat the Dukes by 9 and covered the 6.5 point spread. I’m not sure why home court with no crowd is worth 5.5 points to the spread, but Jalen Crutcher and company take care of business tonight.
I’m going back to the well for the Canadiens and Canucks tonight. They’ve played 4 times already this year and all of the games have had 7 goals on more. Let’s play the trend and hope it hits again.
The Avs and Wild play for the third time in 4 nights tonight. They split in Minnesota, but they’re back in Colorado tonight. The Avs are just the better team. Their goal differential per game is +1.3, while the Wild are about even at +0.1. The Wild are also abysmal on the powerplay, only converting 5% of their chances into goals. Take the Avs.
I’m going to take a flyer on the Blackhawks here as home dogs, they’ve been bad, but the team is ravaged by injuries and Covid. They get DeBrincat and Beaudin back tonight from health and safety protocols. Kevin Lankinen is also starting in goal and while I thought goaltending would be a major problem for the ‘Hawks this year, he’s been a bright spot. Take Chicago at home against Carolina who haven’t left home ice since mid-January.
Photo via cbssports.com